For curious forecasters
Observer
$0
forever
The complete forecasting loop, free.
- Record and revise open forecasts
- See aggregate view after your first call
- Private calibration record
- Verified result ledger
- Private revision history
Will They Hire?Audition outcome forecasts
Plans · USD pricing
The forecast stays free.Insight funds the work.
Pay for deeper analysis, editorial context, and aggregate research—not for a better score, earlier aggregate access, or influence over resolution.
Commercial firewall
Same forecast access
Same scoring rule
Independent resolution
No person-level sales
Choose your depth
Simple plans, hard boundaries.
These are launch hypotheses shown in US dollars. Checkout is intentionally disabled in this product preview.
All prices in USD · taxes may apply
Recommended
For serious individual users
Signal
$120
per year
Two months included in annual price
Deeper context and a better personal learning loop.
- Everything in Observer
- Advanced calibration analysis
- Instrument-family breakdowns
- Revision and confidence history
- Weekly editorial Signal note
- Full research archive
For organizations and newsrooms
Studio
$2,490
per year
Two months included in annual price
Aggregate patterns for editorial and planning teams.
- Aggregate outcome dashboard
- Evidence-ledger workspace
- Thresholded trend exports
- Team seats and saved views
- Correction and source alerts
- No person-level forecasting data
For institutions and publishers
Research
Custom
A reviewed evidence package built around a defined question.
- Custom aggregate analysis
- Editorial methodology note
- Reproducible source package
- Scheduled ledger extracts
- Named research contact
- Contractual privacy controls
Compare
What changes—and what never does
Forecast integrity is common infrastructure. Paid plans add context and workflow, not influence.
| Feature | Observer | Signal | Studio | Research |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open forecasting | Scoped | |||
| Verified result ledger | ||||
| Personal calibration | Core | Advanced | Aggregate | Scoped |
| Editorial Signal note | — | Optional | ||
| Thresholded exports | — | — | ||
| Team workspace | — | — | Scoped | |
| Research package | — | — | — | |
| Person-level data | — | — | — | — |
How Cadenza earns
Intelligence, not participation.
The business sells editorial analysis, aggregate research, workflow, and licensed evidence packages. Forecast submission remains separate.
Membership
Advanced personal analysis and editorial Signal notes
Organization tools
Thresholded aggregate patterns and source alerts
Research briefs
Scoped analysis with a reproducible evidence package
Sponsorship
Clearly labeled and separated from editorial resolution
Editorial independence
Revenue cannot touch the ledger.
01
Product access
A paid customer cannot open, close, reorder, or suppress a public forecast.
02
Outcome review
Sponsors and customers cannot classify an outcome or choose its qualifying source.
03
Aggregate privacy
Small cohorts are withheld; person-level records are not an enterprise product.
04
Correction rights
Every user can submit source-backed corrections regardless of plan.
Questions
Pricing notes
Can I forecast on the free plan?
Yes. The complete forecast, aggregate-reveal, verified-result, and core calibration loop remains free. Payment is not required to participate.
Does a paid plan affect my score or what I can see before forecasting?
No. Every participant uses the same scoring rule and the same aggregate-view boundary. Payment never changes result classification, rank, or pre-forecast access.
What does Studio export?
Only thresholded, aggregate search-level patterns and evidence-ledger fields. Candidate identities and person-level forecasting records are outside the product.
Are annual prices charged in USD?
Yes. Every displayed amount is in US dollars. Applicable taxes and invoicing terms are shown before a real purchase, which is not enabled in this preview.