For curious forecasters
Observer
$0
forever
The complete forecasting loop, free.
- Record and revise open forecasts
- See aggregate view after your first call
- Private calibration record
- Verified result ledger
- Private revision history
Plans · USD pricing
Pay for deeper analysis, editorial context, and aggregate research—not for a better score, earlier aggregate access, or influence over resolution.
Commercial firewall
Same forecast access
Same scoring rule
Independent resolution
No person-level sales
Choose your depth
These are launch hypotheses shown in US dollars. Checkout is intentionally disabled in this product preview.
All prices in USD · taxes may apply
For curious forecasters
$0
forever
The complete forecasting loop, free.
For serious individual users
$120
per year
Two months included in annual price
Deeper context and a better personal learning loop.
For organizations and newsrooms
$2,490
per year
Two months included in annual price
Aggregate patterns for editorial and planning teams.
For institutions and publishers
Custom
A reviewed evidence package built around a defined question.
Compare
Forecast integrity is common infrastructure. Paid plans add context and workflow, not influence.
| Feature | Observer | Signal | Studio | Research |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open forecasting | Scoped | |||
| Verified result ledger | ||||
| Personal calibration | Core | Advanced | Aggregate | Scoped |
| Editorial Signal note | — | Optional | ||
| Thresholded exports | — | — | ||
| Team workspace | — | — | Scoped | |
| Research package | — | — | — | |
| Person-level data | — | — | — | — |
How Cadenza earns
The business sells editorial analysis, aggregate research, workflow, and licensed evidence packages. Forecast submission remains separate.
Advanced personal analysis and editorial Signal notes
Thresholded aggregate patterns and source alerts
Scoped analysis with a reproducible evidence package
Clearly labeled and separated from editorial resolution
Editorial independence
A paid customer cannot open, close, reorder, or suppress a public forecast.
Sponsors and customers cannot classify an outcome or choose its qualifying source.
Small cohorts are withheld; person-level records are not an enterprise product.
Every user can submit source-backed corrections regardless of plan.
Questions
Yes. The complete forecast, aggregate-reveal, verified-result, and core calibration loop remains free. Payment is not required to participate.
No. Every participant uses the same scoring rule and the same aggregate-view boundary. Payment never changes result classification, rank, or pre-forecast access.
Only thresholded, aggregate search-level patterns and evidence-ledger fields. Candidate identities and person-level forecasting records are outside the product.
Yes. Every displayed amount is in US dollars. Applicable taxes and invoicing terms are shown before a real purchase, which is not enabled in this preview.